Wealth of Experience

US recession risks, a simple wealth-creating strategy, Warnes' 2024 outlook | 13 Dec 2023

December 12, 2023 Firstlinks and Morningstar
Wealth of Experience
US recession risks, a simple wealth-creating strategy, Warnes' 2024 outlook | 13 Dec 2023
Show Notes Chapter Markers

Season 2, Episode 14

Richard Rauch, Investment Director at Brandywine Global, gives a fascinating tour of the global economic landscape. He says economic normalisation post Covid is almost done, the inflation scare is over and there's even the possibility of deflation happening in the US in future. Rauch believes that as the economic cycle extends, the odds are increasing that the US, and the world, has a hard economic landing.

Duncan Burns, Asia Pacific CIO at Vanguard, says investors are too hung up on beating the marketing and sticking to a simple, long-term strategy can deliver hassle-free, excellent results. He describes how to allocate assets to deliver such results and the key traps to avoid. 

Finally, regular guest, Peter Warnes from Morningstar's Your Money Weekly, gives us his outlook for the Australian market and economy next year. 

This is our last episode for 2023 and we'll see you back on January 10, 2024.

Have a merry Christmas and Happy New Year.



Peter Warnes
Peter Warnes - latest GDP figures
Peter Warnes - rate hikes to have impact in '24
Peter Warnes - recession still possible
Peter Warnes - rate hikes less likely now
Peter Warnes - productivity figures were distorted
Peter Warnes - market outook
Duncan Burns - Vanguard's Asia Pacific CIO
Duncan Burns - snapshot of Vanguard
Duncan Burns - answers critics of passive investing
Duncan Burns - passive is a low turnover strategy
Duncan Burns - importance of asset allocation
Duncan Burns - income is back for fixed income
Duncan Burns - bonds vs cash
Duncan Burns - Aussie still underweight international stocks
Duncan Burns - part of 60/40 fan club
Duncan Burns - common investing errors
Richard Rauch - Investment Director, Brandywine Global
Richard Rauch - overview of Brandywine
Richard Rauch - global macroeconomic overview
Richard Rauch - US has been driving global growth
Richard Rauch - this isn't a normal economic cycle
Richard Rauch - normalisation from Covid almost complete
Richard Rauch - inflation is largely over
Richard Rauch - the big 2024 story has been US growth
Richard Rauch - risks of US hard landing
Richard Rauch - underweight US large cap & tech
Richard Rauch - bonds > stocks
Richard Rauch - Brazilian, Mexican, and Columbian bonds
Richard Rauch - how Australia shapes up